Forecasts are made to give a guide to what is most likely to happen in the future, but they are not always right. For example, previous IMF forecasts picked up fewer than 10% of recessions a year ahead of time, according to an analysis it conducted of recessions around the world between 1992 and 2014.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-65240749?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=KARANGA,
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